2013년 11월 30일 토요일

About 'forex trend signals'|Good Forex Signals Make FX Trading Easy







About 'forex trend signals'|Good Forex Signals Make FX Trading Easy








               When               markets               open               there               is               often               high               initial               price               volatility               before               a               trend               emerges.
               Unlike               the               stock               market,               the               forex               market               does               not               have               a               daily               open               and               close.

Running               across               three               different               trading               sessions,               the               forex               market               is               open               24-hours               a               day,               5.5               days               a               week.

Consequently,               most               traders               don't               see               the               forex               market               as               having               an               'opening'               session.

However,               this               is               not               the               case.

There               are               larger               trading               volumes               as               banks               around               the               world               open               for               business,               meaning               that               currency               pairs               are               not               immune               from               opening               volatility.
               As               stop-losses               are               triggered               on               either               side               of               the               opening               price,               a               stronger               trend               will               often               emerge.

Although               the               trend               may               not               last,               knowing               that               there               is               often               a               fake-out               followed               by               a               stronger               move               is               something               of               which               traders               can               take               advantage               in               their               trading               strategies.
               Traders               should               watch               the               most               frequently               traded               forex               pairs,               as               these               are               the               most               liquid,               as               well               as               looking               for               a               large               increase               in               trading               volume               as               the               market               opens.

These               pairs               include               the               EUR/USD,               the               GBP/USD,               the               USD/JPY,               the               USD/CHF               and               the               AUD/USD.
               The               London               forex               session,               running               from               8:00               GMT               to               18:00               GMT,               is               an               ideal               candidate               for               this               trade,               one               of               the               reasons               being               that               the               GBP/USD               and               EUR/USD               are               not               as               heavily               traded               prior               to               the               open               of               this               session               as               they               are               prior               to               the               open               of               the               New               York               session               (which               overlaps               with               the               European               session).

When               Germany               and               London               open               for               trading,               the               volume               of               trades               on               these               pairs               ensues,               with               the               USD/CHF               being               another               good               pair               to               keep               an               eye               on.
               The               JPY               is               heavily               traded               in               the               Asian               forex               session,               but               in               the               one-hour               overlap               between               the               Asian               and               London               sessions               there               is               increased               volatility               for               the               GBP/JPY               and               the               EUR/JPY.
               Working               off               the               open               of               the               European               markets,               we               have               three               pairs               to               watch               starting               from               around               6:00               GMT               (prior               to               the               market               opening)               until               about               10:00               GMT               (after               the               markets               have               opened).
               The               set-up
               Prior               to               a               major               market               opening,               forex               pairs               typically               move               within               small               ranges.

However               this               is               not               always               the               case,               and               on               days               when               there               is               a               lot               of               movement               prior               to               the               European               open,               the               set-up               will               be               harder               to               see,               which               might               mean               that               this               strategy               is               not               appropriate.
               1.

Using               a               15-minute               chart,               traders               should               look               for               a               calm               pre-market,               or               a               forex               pair               that               has               a               definable               pre-market               range.

2.

A               breakout               of               the               pre-market               range               is               likely               to               occur.

We               do               nothing,               as               this               could               be               a               fake               breakout.

Ideally               the               breakout               should               be               small,               either               less               than               a               third               of               the               average               daily               range,               or               from               10               to               30               pips.

3.

We               watch               for               an               engulfing               candle               pattern               (a               bullish               engulfing               pattern               consists               of               an               up               body               longer               than               the               previous               down               candle,               whereas               a               bearish               engulfing               pattern               consists               of               a               down               body               longer               than               the               previous               up               candle)               in               the               opposite               direction               of               the               original               breakout               (so               if               the               breakout               was               up,               we               would               want               a               bearish               pattern).

4.

We               open               a               trade               in               the               direction               of               the               engulfing               pattern,               placing               a               stop               just               below               the               low               of               the               bullish               engulfing               pattern               (or               the               high               of               the               bearish               engulfing               pattern).

5.

To               exit,               a               trader               could               either               place               a               trailing               stop               on               the               trade,               set               limit               orders               based               on               the               average               movement               during               the               early               European               session               or               the               average               daily               range,               or               watch               for               the               reverse               engulfing               pattern               to               close.



               Considerations
               Traders               should               be               aware               that               not               all               signals               will               provide               an               entry               and               exit               within               the               first               couple               of               hours,               with               some               signals               developing               later               in               the               session.

In               this               case               it               would               be               a               good               idea               to               exit               using               a               trailing               stop               or               limit               order.
               If               multiple               stops               and               limits               are               being               triggered,               traders               shouldn't               make               more               than               two               trades               in               a               given               direction               and               just               save               the               system               for               another               day.

And,               if               an               initial               breakout               has               momentum               and               runs               more               than               40               pips               outside               the               pre-open               range,               traders               shouldn't               make               a               trade               in               the               opposite               direction               even               if               an               engulfing               pattern               appears.
               Traders               can               also               increase               their               chances               of               success               by               looking               for               false               breakouts               against               stronger               long-term               trends,               as               trades               that               go               with               longer-term               trends               have               a               higher               chance               of               success.

They               could               also               trade               in               multiple               lots               (contracts)               as               this               will               allow               for               multiple               exits,               thus               allowing               them               to               break               even               on               their               risk               before               taking               more               profit.
               Conclusion
               Although               the               forex               market               is               open               24-hours               a               day,               there               are               still               times               of               the               day               when               more               participants               enter               the               markets,               and               these               can               provide               great               opportunities               for               forex               traders.

By               watching               for               fake               breakouts,               reversal               patterns               and               using               multiple               exits,               a               trader               can               potentially               profit               on               a               large               portion               of               the               average               daily               movement.






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                   Learn               How               to               Read               Financial               Statements
    A               very               important               part               of               researching               companies               to               invest               in               is               to               read               their               financial               statements.

    This               seems               like               a               long               and               boring               task               when               all               you               want               to               do               is               get               in               the               action               and               make               some               trades,               but               is               necessary               to               become               a               successful               investor.

    The               U.S.

    Securities               and               Exchange               Commission               (SEC)               provides               a               lot               of               information               on               it's               website               to               beginning               investors.

    There               is               a               great               article               on               Beginners'               Guide               to               Financial               Statements               that               gives               a               beginner               a               good               understanding               of               financial               statements               and               how               to               read               them.
                   Track               Company               News               &               Earnings               Reports
    As               a               parent               is               concerned               with               his/her               children's               report               card               grades,               an               investor               should               be               as               concerned               and               interested               in               company               news               and               earnings               reports               of               stocks               they               hold.

    A               piece               of               good               news               or               bad               news               can               change               your               entire               investment               within               minutes.

    On               yahoo               finance               you               can               set               alerts               for               any               news               that               comes               out               about               one               of               your               company's               stock.

    Much               like               reading               financial               statements,               learning               what               to               make               of               earnings               reports               is               not               easy               but               very               important.

    Here               is               a               great               article               on               how               earnings               reports               are               important,               how               they               work,               and               how               to               read               them.
                   Set               Goals
    Most               investors               don't               enter               the               market               for               pure               fun.

    Whether               you're               investing               for               your               children's               college               fund               or               a               new               set               of               golf               clubs               write               out               your               goals.

    If               you               are               constantly               reminded               of               why               you               are               investing               it               will               help               keep               your               thoughts               focused               on               your               goals.

    It               is               good               to               set               monthly               and               yearly               goals.

    A               goal               I               try               to               set               for               myself               is               to               earn               over               10%               a               year,               which               is               considered               to               be               the               average               return               of               stock               investing.
                   Don't               Repeat               Mistakes
    When               I               first               started               investing               I               focused               my               research               and               money               on               penny               stocks.

    I               now               know               that               penny               stocks               are               the               most               unpredictable               investment               (more               like               high               stakes               gambling).

    Investing               in               penny               stocks               in               the               world               of               financial               investments               is               similar               to               playing               Russian               Roulette               at               your               family               board               game               night.

    Several               trades               into               penny               stock               investing               I               quickly               learned               my               lesson               and               lost               my               money.
                   The               key               to               anything               in               life               is               learning               from               your               mistakes.

    A               good               thing               to               do               is               keep               a               log               of               the               bad               investment               choices               and               the               good               ones               and               refer               to               this               oftern               before               making               your               next               stock               purchase.

    Even               the               best               of               us               mistakes,               but               the               best               do               not               make               the               same               mistakes               again.
                   Get               Over               the               Woulda               Shoulda               Coulda's
    This               is               one               that               I               am               not               personally               capable               of.

    Every               day               I               think               of               opportunities               missed               and               mistakes               that               cannot               be               reversed.

    The               one               that               always               gets               me               is               Jones               Soda               (JSDA).

    I               first               purchased               shares               of               JSDA               at               .25               a               share.

    I               put               just               $500               in               the               stock               as               I               knew               it               was               risky.

    Nearly               a               year               later               I               sold               all               of               my               shares               at               $3               making               a               nice               profit               of               $5500!

    There               was               no               logical               reason               to               sell               but               I               did.

    A               year               and               a               half               later               the               stock               peaked               at               $30               a               share!!!

    Its               hard               dealing               with               the               fact               that               I               missed               out               on               $60,000               but               it               is               something               that               is               important               to               forget               so               you               can               move               on               and               find               the               next               great               investment.

    Also               this               is               a               one               in               a               million               shot               as               most               penny               stocks               fail               and               not               flourish               such               as               Jones               Soda.

    Focus               your               regret               on               your               research               and               not               on               "what               if".
                   Rules               to               Trade               By
                   Diversify               
                   You               know               the               saying               "don't               put               all               of               your               eggs               in               one               basket".

    This               rule               applies               heavily               to               investing.

    You               want               to               invest               in               different               sectors,               different               capitals               (Large               caps,               small               caps,               etc.),               and               in               different               countries.

    A               good               plan               is               to               find               the               top               performing               companies               in               each               sector,               country,               and               capital               to               track               in               a               mock               portfolio.

    Diversifying               is               important               because               at               any               given               time               a               sector,               or               country               can               take               a               substantial               hit               that               could               severely               damage               your               portfolio.

    An               extreme               example               would               be               if               you               only               owned               oil               companies               and               the               world               ran               out               of               oil.

    If               America               is               in               a               recession               then               focus               in               thriving               countries               around               the               world.

    Many               companies               from               other               countries               are               traded               publicly               in               U.S.

    exchanges.

    You               most               certainly               don't               need               one               stock               in               every               sector               and/or               country,               but               a               decent               mix               will               prove               to               be               beneficial               to               your               portfolio's               value.
                   Think               Long               Term
    If               you               are               investing               in               stocks               to               become               instantly               rich,               then               you               will               soon               learn               that               this               is               not               an               easy               task.

    Even               the               best               company's               stock               can               suffer               during               a               recession.

    Investing               long               term               will               help               to               balance               out               the               bad               times               with               the               good               times.

    Don't               buy               a               stock               because               it               will               go               up               today,               buy               a               stock               because               it               will               succeed               over               the               next               10               years.

    If               you               think               long               term               when               making               your               selections,               you               are               already               ahead               of               most               beginning               investors.
                   Start               with               Large               "Blue-Chip"               Companies
    The               smaller               the               price               the               more               volatile.

    If               the               price               of               a               stock               is               low,               that               doesn't               mean               it's               cheap,               it               means               it's               risky.

    Start               with               larger               companies               whose               price               is               usually               around               $40-100               a               share.

    There               are               exceptions               to               every               rule               and               there               are               many               small               cap               stocks               that               will               skyrocket.

    But               as               you               are               beginning               to               learn               the               stock               market,               stick               with               the               more               established               and               hopefully               stable               companies.
                   Set               Stop               Loss
    Unless               you               are               investing               with               a               very               small               and               forgettable               amount               of               money,               you               want               to               protect               your               equity.

    A               good               way               to               protect               yourself               from               losing               most               or               all               of               your               investment               is               to               set               a               stop               loss.

    You               should               set               a               stop               loss               at               a               point               where               you               would               be               losing               15-20%               of               your               total               investment.

    Although               it               is               very               important               to               invest               for               the               long               term               and               keep               your               money               in               your               investments,               a               loss               has               to               stop               somewhere.

    I               have               had               positions               fall               60%               in               the               matter               of               a               week               or               two               simply               because               I               did               not               set               a               stop-loss.

    Then               I               face               the               tough               challenge               of               whether               to               hold               on               and               pray               that               it               rebounds               or               sell               and               take               a               substantial               loss.
                   Example:               You               buy               Visa               (V)               at               $75               a               share.

    $75               divided               by               1.15               (15               percent)               is               $65.

    In               your               portfolio               next               to               the               listing               of               Visa               stock               you               would               click               on               sell.

    When               the               sell               screen               comes               up               make               sure               to               select               sell               limit               (some               brokers               have               a               selection               that               says               stop-loss,               others               don't).

    Once               under               sell               limit               you               would               simply               enter               $65.

    The               trade               will               not               happen               unless               Visa               went               under               $65.

    The               reason               you               want               to               do               this               is               to               protect               your               money               in               case               of               a               major               sell-off               in               that               companies               stock.
                   Don't               Get               Trigger               Happy
    My               biggest               problem               when               starting               an               investment               portfolio               at               the               age               of               18               was               making               rash               decisions               and               then               changing               my               mind               soon               after               making               them.

    It               got               to               the               point               where               it               didn't               matter               how               good               my               trades               were,               my               fees               from               excessive               trades               were               more               than               I               would               ever               make               from               stock               performance.
                   Keep               your               positions               to               20               or               less               to               start               with-
    It               is               important               to               put               a               cap               on               your               active               positions.

    A               good               number               for               a               portfolio               is               between               15-20               stocks.

    The               15-20               does               not               include               mutual               funds               or               ETF's               that               you               may               be               holding               for               decades               and               do               not               actively               watch.

    The               stocks               in               your               portfolio               should               be               monitored               often,               and               because               of               this               it               is               important               to               limit               your               investments.
                   Recommended               Online               Brokers               for               Beginners
                   An               online               broker               is               the               way               to               go.

    Stock               investing               online               is               cheap               and               simple.

    Actual               brokers               can               charge               upwards               of               $50               a               trade.

    Online               brokers               leave               most               of               the               research               and               work               up               to               you               but               offer               easy               simple               trading               at               a               very               affordable               price.

    Here               are               the               two               best               online               brokers               for               beginners               based               on               my               experience.
                   Scottrade-               $500               account               minimum               is               lower               than               average,               $7               market               trades.

    Scottrade               has               very               good               customer               service               and               offices               in               most               states               where               you               are               assigned               a               representative               who               can               help               you               with               any               issues               or               concerns.
                   Sharebuilder-               The               best               site               for               beginners               hands               down.

    No               minimums               and               you               can               invest               for               only               $4               a               trade               if               you               use               the               automatic               investment               plan.

    You               can               invest               a               certain               amount               in               an               investment               instead               of               a               certain               number               of               shares.

    Depending               on               how               you               invest               there               are               fees               monthly               or               yearly.
                   Checklist
    -               Research               first.

    You               need               to               spend               a               significant               amount               of               time               researching               stock               trends,               charts,               and               financial               statements               before               investing.


                   -               Mock               trade.

    Set               up               a               Yahoo               Finance               account,               and               create               a               portfolio               and               track               the               performance               of               stocks               you               pick.


                   -               Set               up               an               online               broker               account               (               Scottrade,               Sharebuilder,               etc.)               Research               fees,               trade               limits,               etc.


                   -               Transfer               money               into               account               (Start               with               between               $1000-5000               if               available,               until               you               get               your               feet               wet)               
                   -               Research               More!

    Check               out               ratings               of               companies               on               different               financial               websites.

    If               you               are               sold               on               a               company,               try               to               find               reasons               it               will               fail.

    If               you               cannot               find               reasons               it               will               fail               then               you               may               just               have               something.


                   -               Start               investing.

    Make               a               few               trades               and               track               them               closely.

    If               you               make               a               few               dollars,               don't               get               excited               get               cautious               and               protect               your               investments               with               stop-loss               trades.


                   -               Monitor               stocks               at               least               twice               a               week,               track               news.


                   -               Hold               your               positions.

    Don't               profit-take               unless               there               is               something               that               warrants               it.

    If               negative               company               information               is               revealed,               then               protecting               your               equity               by               selling               your               stock               is               the               right               thing               to               do.

    Just               be               careful               of               selling               your               stock               for               no               reason.
                   Now               get               started,               have               fun,               and               learn               from               your               mistakes.

    The               stock               market               can               be               overwhelming               and               has               crippled               many               egos.

    Do               your               research               and               know               why               you               are               investing               in               a               company               before               you               hit               the               "finalize               trade"               button.






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